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Liberal, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Liberal KS
National Weather Service Forecast for: Liberal KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Dodge City, KS
Updated: 1:50 am CDT Apr 25, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 11 to 13 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Friday

Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 61. North northeast wind 13 to 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
T-storms

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after midnight.  Cloudy, with a low around 45. East northeast wind 10 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
T-storms
Likely

Saturday

Saturday: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm.  High near 66. East wind 11 to 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers


Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East southeast wind 11 to 14 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely

Sunday

Sunday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
Showers and
Breezy

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 1am.  Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Breezy.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms and
Breezy then
Slight Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 83. Breezy.
Sunny then
Sunny and
Breezy

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Mostly Clear


Lo 45 °F Hi 61 °F Lo 45 °F Hi 66 °F Lo 53 °F Hi 84 °F Lo 55 °F Hi 83 °F Lo 43 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Overnight
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 11 to 13 mph.
Friday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 61. North northeast wind 13 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 45. East northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
 
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. High near 66. East wind 11 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East southeast wind 11 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 83. Breezy.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 72.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Wednesday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Wednesday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Thursday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Liberal KS.

Weather Forecast Discussion
046
FXUS63 KDDC 250558
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1258 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a 50-70% chance for strong to severe thunderstorms
  tonight.

- Unseasonably cool temperatures expected Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

WV imagery indicates a southwest flow aloft prevailing across the
Western High Plains. Near the surface, an area of low pressure
remains anchored in extreme southeast Colorado with an attendant
frontal boundary extending northeast through western Kansas.

Thunderstorm chances (50-70%) pick up again late this
afternoon/early evening with a similar setup to yesterday as the
SREF indicates a weak/compact upper level shortwave perturbation
ejecting northeast out of the Southern Rockies into the Western High
Plains early in the period. Meanwhile, a larger scale upper level
shortwave trough swinging east through the Upper Midwest into the
Great Lakes Region will help nudge the aforementioned frontal
boundary southward across southwest Kansas into northern Oklahoma
later this evening/overnight. Near the surface, a prevailing
southeasterly upslope flow will reinforce a moist airmass across
central/southwest Kansas with surface dewpoints holding generally in
the mid/upper 50s(F) to the lower 60s(F), supporting reasonable
instability with MUCAPE values upward of 1500 to 2000 J/kg. With
sufficient instability within a zone of steepening mid-level lapse
rates thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon as H5
vort maxima begin to kick out across the Western and Southern
High Plains, interacting with a dryline attendant to the surface
low in southeast Colorado and subsequent stalled boundary in
western Kansas as suggest by CAMs, not to mention any remnant
outflow boundaries from lingering morning convection. The focus
for storm development then shifts southward toward the Oklahoma
border through the evening hours in conjunction with the quasi-
stationary boundary beginning to shift south. The best chance
for storm development is expected to be across central/south
central Kansas and eastern portions of southwest Kansas where
the HREF shows a 30-50% probability of 6-hr QPF exceeding 0.25
of an inch by late this evening with storms potentially lingering
well into Friday morning.

Increased rain chances (60-80%) return Friday night/early Saturday
as medium range ensembles indicate a southwesterly flow aloft
returning across the Western High Plains in wake of a ridge axis
shifting east into the Central Plains. Departing surface high
pressure through the Upper Midwest will set up a east-southeasterly
upslope flow across the high plains of eastern Colorado/western
Kansas with a projected frontal boundary extending generally across
the Texas Panhandle northwest into southeast Colorado. With
sufficient moisture return providing increased instability, diurnally
driven thunderstorm development is expected in vicinity of the
frontal boundary with storms then spreading northeast into southwest
Kansas late Friday night into Saturday morning. This is supported
by the latest NBM painting a widespread 20-30% probability for
12-hr QPF exceeding 0.25 of an inch by early Saturday afternoon.

Near seasonal temperatures are forecast tonight as a weak frontal
boundary sinks slowly south through west central Kansas and portions
of southwest/central Kansas by daybreak Friday. With the HREF
indicating a 40-60% probability of temperatures dropping below 50F
in west central Kansas to a 20-40% probability of falling below 55F
in south central Kansas, look for lows in the upper 40s(F) to the
mid-50s(F). Unseasonably cool temperatures are likely Friday as
cooler air filters into western Kansas behind a cold front dropping
south into the Texas Panhandle/western Oklahoma, lowering H85
temperatures down to near 5C in extreme southwest Kansas to around
12C in south central Kansas. The HREF shows a 40-60% probability of
temperatures climbing above 55F out near the Colorado border to a
90% probability of temperatures nudging above 60F in south central
Kansas, so look for afternoon highs only up into the 50s(F) out west
to the lower 60s(F) farther east, especially if expected early
morning low level stratus lingers. A warming trend is then expected
through the weekend as departing surface high pressure returns a
southerly flow to western Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

A cold front was passing through western Kansas early this
morning. Along and ahead of the front, batches of thunderstorms
will continue to develop and may affect KDDC and KHYS through
12z. In the wake of the front, CIGS will lower to IFR given a
moist upslope flow pattern, along with north to northeast winds
at 10-15 kts.The low clouds (IFR and low MVFR) will likely hang
around all day given the persistent post frontal upslope.


&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...Finch
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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